Havoc / AI
TrackerHavoc London

Havoc / AI is a standalone tracker.

Every figure is read out of published journalism. Reported / ~ estimated / dashed = forecast.

Privacy

Havoc / AI · tracker

Havoc AI tracker

Two needles on the AI build, read out of published journalism.

The Gap and Mood

Updated 22 Aug · calibrated against 2000 and 2021

The monthly AI brief

Both needles, what moved them, and the figures behind the move. Once a month, nothing else.

One email a month. Unsubscribe in a click.

See the data ↓

One week of AI reporting, read across 37 sources: national press, trade titles, independent newsletters, and the labs themselves. Every figure below comes from published journalism, with its provenance marked.

Money in, tracked

$167.7bn

Announced funding rounds plus disclosed capex from AI stories on file, 1 month

Filed in 24 hours

78

Havoc data · 37 sources

Biggest mover

Anthropic ▼41%

Tracked name with the largest change in stories mentioning it, last 7 days against the 7 before

Havoc data · 5 Nov

Watchlist

Kept on this device only

This week in AI

BBC Technology

Major tech stocks plunge as US midterms add to fears of AI slowdown

The market has been reacting to possible tougher scrutiny of data centre construction and the AI industry following the US midterms

5 Nov·topics

  • New York Times Technology

    OpenAI Pledges to Give Locals More Say in Data Center Projects

    5 Nov·topics

  • WIRED AI

    Ads in Chatbots Have Arrived. Here’s What’s Working—and What’s Not

    5 Nov·topics

  • Guardian — Artificial intelligence

    Nasdaq sees worst day in 18 months as investors bet on AI slowdown after Democrats’ election triumph

    5 Nov

CNBC Technology

AI meltdown: Nvidia and Qualcomm drop more than 9%, pushing Nasdaq to worst day since April 2025

5 Nov·topics

FT Technology

Will Democrats stall the AI boom?

5 Nov·topics

NVIDIA Blog

Vera Delivers the Best of Both Worlds: Highest Throughput and Fastest Agents

5 Nov·topics

TechCrunch AI

Meta says US users can now video chat with their Muse AI avatar

5 Nov·topics

The Verge AI

Muse has a voice mode now

5 Nov·topics

Ars Technica

Gamers go to ridiculous lengths to "improve" GTA VI with Nvidia's DLSS 5

5 Nov·topics

Marcus on AI

Breaking: Mayhem in the market 🫧

5 Nov

Microsoft Research

Formally verifying agent-written full-stack web apps with PDD Kit

5 Nov·topics

IEEE Spectrum AI

AI Text Watermarking May Not Be Able to Meet the E.U.’s New Rules

5 Nov

MIT Technology Review

The Download: Texas’s fragile AI boom and energy policy shifts

5 Nov·topics

The Algorithmic Bridge

The AI Industry Thinks It Has a PR Problem. The Actual Problem Is Much Worse

5 Nov

Stratechery

An Interview With Intuit CEO Sasan Goodarzi About Accounting and AI

5 Nov

Rest of World

A rare strike in Taiwan exposes labor unrest beneath the global AI rush

5 Nov·topics

OpenAI

GPT‑6 Cyber: Advancing the frontier of aligned cybersecurity agents

5 Nov·topics

The Economist — Science & technology

AI models can tinker with one another’s brains

4 Nov

Google Research

Agile Deliberation: How AI helps humans define the gray areas

4 Nov

Simon Willison's Weblog

datasette-llm 0.1a10

4 Nov·topics

TLDR AI

Siri AI developer 🍎, Gemini Notebook API 👨‍💻, provable inference ⚡

4 Nov·topics

BBC Technology

Graduates are managing AI - but are they learning much else?

4 Nov

New York Times Technology

Parents Sue Google Over A.I. Safety Risks on School Chromebooks

5 Nov·topics

WIRED AI

Exclusive: Aina’s Smart Ring Wants to Be a Remote Control for Your AI Agent

5 Nov·topics

Hype index

Havoc data · mentions in the last 7 days vs the 7 before

  • OpenAI

    45 ▲2%
  • Anthropic

    35 ▼41%
  • AI agents

    34 ▲26%
  • Nvidia

    13 ▼24%
  • AI & copyright

    7 +5
  • AI chips

    7 +4
  • Google DeepMind

    6 ▼40%
  • Microsoft

    6 ▼62%
  • Hugging Face

    3 +1
  • xAI

    2 ▼60%
  • AWS / Amazon AI

    1 +1
  • DeepSeek

    1 ·

Open questions

Model leaderboard

Gemini 3 Pro

Top of the public arena boards

reported

  • Gemini 3 Pro – Google DeepMind
  • Claude Opus 4.5 – Anthropic
  • GPT-5.2 – OpenAI

Regulation watch

EU AI Act

Live rules and deadlines

reported

  • EU AI Act – GPAI obligations phasing in

Money in, revenue out

Reported · announced funding and capex against reported annualised revenue

Valuations

No valuations on file yet.

Market size

  • Statista · 2030$1.8tn
  • McKinsey · 2030$4.4tn
  • Goldman Sachs · 2030$7.0tn
  • PwC · 2030$15.7tn

Dashed = forecast

Where the rules stand

EU AI Act

In force, phased

General-purpose model obligations applying; high-risk duties phased in

UK

No statute yet

Regulator-led approach; AI bill still expected

US federal

No bill

Executive action only; agency guidance

California SB 53

Signed

Frontier model transparency and incident reporting

China

Labelling rules in force

Generative AI measures and content labelling

How the needles are scored

The Gap

  • Valuation multiple25%68
    15–24× revenueReported · Company filings, press2000: 100 · 2021: 90
  • Revenue coverage15%75
    ~17% of capex~ Estimated · Run-rate reports, capex guidance2000: 55 · 2021: 15
  • Utilisation & pricing15%20
    Sold out to Sept; H100 +12% YoYReported · SemiAnalysis, provider trackers2000: 100 · 2021: 25
  • Cash-flow strain15%90
    Capex 93% of operating cash flowReported · Q2 filings2000: 90 · 2021: 40
  • Capex growth10%85
    +77% YoYReported · Company guidance2000: 55 · 2021: 55
  • External financing10%70
    $182bn bonds, $27bn high-yieldReported · Bloomberg, Moody's2000: 100 · 2021: 85
  • Profitability breadth10%45
    Chips and clouds profitable; labs mixedReported · Filings, press2000: 90 · 2021: 70

Weighted total: 65 · Frothy

Mood

  • Momentum20%40
    AI basket below 50-day avgReported · Market data2000: 95 · 2021: 85
  • Sector vs market10%35
    AI ETFs lagging S&PReported · Market data2000: 95 · 2021: 75
  • Volatility15%25
    SMH −4.1% worst dayReported · Market data2000: 60 · 2021: 75
  • Private money15%70
    $1.3bn+ in $100m+ roundsReported · Crunchbase weekly2000: 95 · 2021: 95
  • Credit15%25
    30y at 5.32%; neocloud selloffReported · Bloomberg, CNBC2000: 70 · 2021: 60
  • Press tone10%25
    High share of 'bubble' stories~ Estimated · Havoc ingestion2000: 95 · 2021: 70
  • Positioning15%50
    Neutral~ Estimated · Put/call, prediction markets2000: 95 · 2021: 95

Weighted total: 40 · Neutral

Sources

AI Snake Oil · NewsletterArs Technica · PressBBC Technology · PressChip Huyen · PressCNBC Technology · PressExponential View · NewsletterFT Technology · PressGoogle DeepMind · Lab / researchGoogle Research · Lab / researchGuardian — Artificial intelligence · PressHugging Face · Lab / researchIEEE Spectrum AI · PressImport AI · NewsletterInterconnects · NewsletterLast Week in AI · NewsletterMarcus on AI · NewsletterMicrosoft Research · Lab / researchMIT Technology Review · PressNature Machine Intelligence · PressNew York Times Technology · PressNVIDIA Blog · Lab / researchOne Useful Thing · NewsletterOpenAI · Lab / researchPlatformer · NewsletterRest of World · PressSemiAnalysis · NewsletterSimon Willison's Weblog · PressStratechery · PressTechCrunch AI · PressThe Algorithmic Bridge · NewsletterThe Economist — Science & technology · PressThe Register AI/ML · PressThe Verge AI · PressTLDR AI · PressUnderstanding AI · NewsletterWIRED AI · PressWSJ Technology · Press

Havoc / AI is a standalone tracker · Havoc London